[Polls] 338Canada popular vote projection

Easy. He just has to open the constitution to make those reforms. Nothing bad ever happens when we try to change the constitution. All the provinces always agree and there is definitely no lingering constitutional issues that we haven't been able to resolve in more than four decades.

He shouldn't have made that promise. He should have been aware that electoral reforms would need to change the constitution and that every time we try do that, the country nearly implodes. So we just keep status quo until the constitutional crisis will be big enough that we can't ignore it anymore. I don't know what he was thinking. Maybe he thought we would all forget about it.

Ever since the merger of the Progressive Conservative party and the Reform party, the new Conservative party is now taking all the votes of anyone leaning right. Meanwhile, anyone sitting left of them is split up into multiple parties, which actually represents more Canadians proportionally. But, because of the system that we have, the Conservatives are always closer to the majority or have majority.

There was a bit of a break in the right with Maxime Bernier's new far-right party, but PP is working really hard to cater to these people to go get their votes.

Ah fuck off. People voting for both liberal or NDP would prefer either one to win over the conservatives any day of the week.

Treating it like left vs right just pushes us towards the Democrat vs Republican in the US.

Anything the US does Canada does just a little later.

If Trudeau doesn't do a Biden and walk away it's unlikely PP will lose. :/

We gotta keep exposing them with their past actions. I believe Pierre Poilievre will drop hard eventually.

Perhaps, but that seems unlikely to have changed so much since last year. Something else has shifted to make Poilievre and the Cons seem more acceptable to people than they did. Perhaps their party leader has learned to stop saying ridiculously stupid things in public quite so often. Excepting those carefully selected ridiculous things which have proved popular of course, such as "axe the tax" and "common sense."

Also phones scare us.

I would argue conservatives voters are more likely to answer the polls calls as they want to “send a message”

Historically this very incorrect, and most of the Conservatives I know don't trust the polls even if the CPC is ahead and so have no desire to participate.

So do you have anything to actually back that statement up, or is it just a feeling?

What do you consider "not terribly long ago" is now 30 years. I was around 12 then and wasn't really into politics, so forgive me for not remembering.