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  • One or more leading countries in the world to recognize some form of AI as sentient.

    • WILL it be sentient? Or what do you suppose will be the development that causes us to go, "holy shit, it's real this time!"?

  • Preperations for the 2038 bug (similar te the Y2K bug) start too late about 2035

    Linux Desktop gets stronger, even if its slow

    I may or may not manage to finish hosting Nextcloud mostly save on the internet

    Rise in suicide rates

    fall of fanservice isekai (pls)

    Rise of the fediverse (could be slow)

    • Just curious as a casual PC gamer. What would make the average person care enough to switch to Linux?

      • Also as a casual pc gamer, here is my take.

        I just started getting into github projects, and have learned a few things. Like windows and linux can be ran on the same operating system (called wsl) for free and already built in windows. It is pretty useful for developer projects. The point being, there is a good chunk of gamers that are tech savy. Learning linux is not that hard especially with no barriers to entry.

        But MAINLY, because people are tired of changing operating systems. https://store.steampowered.com/hwsurvey

        Windows 10 has INCREASED in popularity more than windows 11 compared to last year for steam users. Since Windows 10 will be officially discontinued in a year, that is actually bonkers. This shows that people (gamers) are getting tired of making unnecessary changes/updates to things that aren't broken and work fine.

        Linux is a free option for that. BUT.... until you can play all steam game son linux, the switch won't happen. The linux popularity will only increase once games can be run on it. Then, the gamers will teach their families how to use linux, which won't be hard, because distros like Ubuntu are already user friendly (Macs are also based off linux as well). It has desktop, file exploration, browsers, etc.

        Since most people just use their computers for work, email, social media, streaming, etc., there is actually no reason for people not to use linux really. The only reason they haven't is because they are not per-installed on computers and windows is already 'free'.

      • Depends on the "average" person You are allowed to stop reading at any point!

        generally:

        • if one only uses the browser anyway why not use an os that is easy to install, gets updates for like forever, can run on a potato and just works
        • it supports more hardware (especially that it does not require tpm) making it cheaper when choosing used hardware + is more resource efficient
        • It has no ads build in
        • being able to drag games fullscreen from one desktop to another with windows key* pressed and mouse drag (at least arch + plasma)
        • users being able to choose their own difficulty from easy and less flexible (mint) to specific (bazzite, looks like a games console but for steam) to advanced (arch) and further
        • no account needed to use it (+ no nag screens except maybe on install but way less than windows)
        • able to be installed on a USB stick and be used on every pc that lets you boot from it, can even be tested without install
        • Installing software is much easier and safer as one does not need to visit some website to download an exe but only needs to open the program store or look up the name and then simply copy paste something in the console and press enter
        • a lot can be updated at once, not only the system but programs as well with one simple command (or the update button in discover or something like that)

        *dont really know how else to call it XD

        specific: gamer -> proton works wonderful to emulate win games that have no intrusive anticheat (protondb is your friend) office -> open office or if they want a more ms office thing Softmaker (but its paid & some things are not supported, has no subscription options tho) artist -> gimp and krita are your friends

        cons (to be a bit fair):

        • some things (like how to download programs) can be massively inconsistent between platforms (glancing at ubuntu)
        • its not windows and will never be so it can be challenging to adapt (like using the console or installing programs)
        • MS office is not native to linux and needs compatibility layers (like proton or wine) or even a VM
        • could be a hassle for students or workers where MS software is required

        Sorry for the dump, i am not sure if i properly answered your question or you got what you wanted to know

      • Gaming performance. And not getting f-ed up by Windows again, and again, and again.

  • In order of hopeful least hopeful:

    1. I finally create my first ever original song using something like Vocaloid or UTAU. Would absolutely prefer Vocaloid because I tried v6 once and it was so much nicer than UTAU/OpenUTAU and so much easier.
    2. I actually finish a Wattpad series I started instead of letting it rot after I lose interest.
    3. Pokémon Empire (my absolute favorite fan game, just below Uranium) doesn't get nuked by Sintendo.
    4. The devs still working on Uranium finish the post game and let you capture the legendaries mentioned in the Tsukiyomi village museum(?).
    5. I finally get the remaining books in the Bakuman manga series and actually read the whole series. I've got the first 9 volumes, so I should hopefully be done at some point before the end of the decade, assuming my favorite place to go for used manga has the other 11 volumes at some point or doesn't close down.

  • Radio music will be almost entirely AI generated by 2035.

    I am faithful that humans will continue to be the primary composers, performers, and tastemakers of music even when AI tools are involved, because music is simply fun to do for people who do it. I know I'm simply not interested in giving up my passion even though an AI could do it, and I think most musicians are with me on that. We do it because it is worth doing.

    But as far as radio pop music is concerned, I think that listeners will eventually be conditioned to prefer "better than real" (but really more polished than real life) music, just like we have with modern record production, particularly auto-tune, drum sample replacement/augmentation, vocaloids, virtual analog plugin software, compression and saturation, and sample-based electronic music. And once that happens, it'll be cheaper and more predictable to ask an AI to spit out a song than to pay human producers to do it.

119 comments