Democrat Lucas Kunce outraises Missouri Republican Sen. Josh Hawley | Hawley’s campaign spent ~$140,000 on chartered flights since the beginning of August, despite lambasting his 2018 opponent for it
In most senarios yes, but unlikely flips do happen. It's not a zero percentage chance. For a recent surprisingly close election, Boebert almost lost in her deep red district a few years ago. She only won by 500 votes out of 327,000 cast
Edit: corrected spelling of Boebert (was previously Bobert)