Kamala Harris erases Trump’s poll lead in one week
Kamala Harris erases Trump’s poll lead in one week
www.telegraph.co.uk
Kamala Harris erases Trump’s poll lead in one week
173 comments
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Kamala should really be doing much better going against a despicable convicted rapist and a couch fucker.
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Since her campaign is only a week old, it will take some time for polling to catch up, but hopefully not much longer 🤞
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Don't forget about the whole "probably a pedophile who wanted to fuck his daughter since she was a child"
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I'm just curious but where did the couch fucker thing come from because I saw memes of it on lemmy but don't know where it came from
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Apparently Trump's vp pick has a book where he discussed sex with furniture.
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The rapist is pretty much confirmed but I doubt that someone ever fucked a couch. Not even I fucked a couch, so I am sceptical.
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Yeah, the couch-fucking is a bogus story. You don't need to make up embarrassing shit about JD Vance. There's plenty of it that's true. And there will be more coming out as the campaign progresses.
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She’s moderate. Always was. That will lose some people, but I still this will be a slam dunk for her.
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She was on the left end of the Senate. If she is a moderate, so is the whole democratic Senate.
She could prove me wrong, but there is a lot of evidence that she is more progressive than Biden, who was already much more progressive than we thought when we all held our noses and voted against trump in 2020.
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...her most-effective tactic will be to attack aggressively and mercilessly in a way the democratic establishment so far has avoided; popular sentiment loves a bully and incompetent fascists make ripe targets...
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Doesn't matter, vote anyway.
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In fact, the lead is only erased if people actually show up to vote. Otherwise, it's still there.
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And even if someone thinks Harris has it locked in. Vote to spite Trump. Go out of your way to say "fuck you pig" at the ballot box.
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Polls don’t mean anything if people don’t go out and vote, and tbh I don’t think Harris is leading in battle ground states enough to really say there might be a “blue wave”.
Dems and allies may be in for a shock if they think Harris is a confirmed winner, from what I can tell it’s close and may remain close. Literally every vote may count https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/07/25/trump-harris-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-most-key-battlegrounds-but-outperforms-biden/
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As a Non-American, the fact its a close race a fucking bonkers. You guys need to get your shit together.
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If the election were by popular vote, as it should be, this wouldn't be an issue at all and Trump would have lost the first time. Our shitty system gives the hateful assholes far more representation than they should have.
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It’s so hard, I live in a non-swing state that is very heavily republican. I have conversations with these people daily. They all want the same things as me, have families, great values, and are genuinely great people. But as soon as politics comes up they shut down. It’s only republican or nothing else. I don’t know if what a candidate in states like mine believe matters anymore. It’s just what they have always voted and always will vote. Politics just lives almost in a different universe for these people. It’s so far removed sometimes it feels like a fantasy that doesn’t really change your daily life. There is just no way to have a productive conversation anymore. Terrible and makes me sad because I think if they really understood, they would switch their vote because they often are hurting themselves.
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So many things working against normal Americans to rig things in favor of the crazies.
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Evangelicals sometimes believe that god picks Republican presidents and Satan will let Democrats win. There are others that believe in Dominionist Christianity feeling that those blessed by godjesus will be wealthy and given a position of power as gods will. We have some sad, crazy mf'ers in this country along with some really dumb, gullible people.
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A third of americans actively avoid politics because its “too political” (too toxic)
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As another Non-American I support this statement.
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As an American the fact that it's a close race is fucking bonkers. I thought it was bonkers even when the alternative was Biden.
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What the fuck? You think we want it this close?
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Pretty sure after 2016 nobody is assuming anything. Especially not when Harris is still behind Trump by 2 points. It would be insane to say "we're behind 2 points but that's within the margin of error, so good enough!"
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I fully acknowledge I'm being optimistic about the blue wave, but I also believe and hope that the momentum is just starting to build and will reflect down ballot.
And yes, I will be voting and be sure to get everyone I know to vote as well.
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The ear 👂 tampon made him look weak and reminded everyone that he lies about everything.
Magically, zero damage to a “shot” ear 2 weeks later. Sure, Trump 😆🤣🤡
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Are there pics of him with the bandage off?
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Yeah, an AP picture was posted to twitter and then the photographer was banned lol.
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He was shot with an AR-15 (assuming it was the bullet and not shrapnel).
Those make an entry wound smaller than a hole punch (5.56mm vs. 7.9mm). I mean, a 5.56 is 3/1000ths of an inch smaller than a .22. (Close enough for you guns nerds.) Point being, for those that don't know, the bullet is tiny, it's the speed that counts.
So no, I wouldn't expect to see much after a couple of weeks of healing and careful cleaning. But that pic where the only red spot is so high and close? Either the bullet was extraordinarily close, or he got hit with shrapnel.
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Everything above your earlobe is made of cartilage, and that takes a significantly longer time period to heal compared to flesh. Just ask anyone who's had their lobe pierced vs a tragus or helix which one healed faster.
Also, assuming anything you said about the ballistics of a .556 round are true, it's irrelevant because the AP has photos of his ear and there's no puncture wounds, hole-punch sized or other. If he was hit by the bullet and not just shrapnel, it was a grazing shot and (for my money, seeing as how he's an old obese man) it's likely he's on warfarin or some other blood-thinner/anti-coagulant which made his wound bleed more than it otherwise would have.
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You have no clue what you're talking about. An AR round will put a clean hole through steel, buddy.
You'll never ever see it put a clean hole thru flesh.
Stop lying.
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A week that occurred during the period where the GOP should have been experiencing their post-convention bump. The Democrats haven't had their convention yet, so that should give them another few points.
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Go for overwhelming victory. Win with your vote and hit the streets to celebrate and show support. Make the inevitable attack against the election results sound ridiculous.
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Then they'll say that such an overwhelming victory shouldn't have been possible and not legitimate.
Anyway, I still say we blow 'em out at the polls.
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Ignore anything said by people who talk about ending elections forever.
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I will vote against donald trump.
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None of this fluff matters. Vote like fascism is knocking on the doors of the oval office.
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Also, predictive polls have been really terrible since 2016. They don't have a good read on the electorate, mainly because they don't understand the younger generations or know how to quantify social media influence.
So I agree. Vote like our collective future depends on it. And remember that there's a lot of downballot races that deserve attention, too.
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I don't want to do fascism. I'm going to vote like fascism is right here, because it is.
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I'm not American, so, to me, Kamala is the clear choice over a convicted felon. Americans I know are telling me she's "done nothing" and is "a waste of space". Why are people saying this?
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Why are people saying this?
Probably to cover for racism and/or sexism.
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Because you're talking to either tankies or conservatives, both of which have a vested interest in sowing division within the populace
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this was hillary clinton's criticism of Bernie Sanders, also. I think republicans don't realize they're operating out of the Hillary Clinton Campaign this time. Republicans might as well say "Its His Turn"
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Projection.
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Friend, I'm sorry to tell this, but the American you know might be the bad ones.
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Just remember this picture everyone, no matter how good it looks right now. And YOU probably don't need to see this, but maybe you have friends who do. I have a few who will be getting this in a text message in October.
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This is why voting reform is the most important issue of our times.
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The majority of the do not vote block is voter suppression. If you dont experience that in your own life you aren't the group being suppressed.
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One thing worth noting about how much the devil is in the details.
Arizona and Nevada are still leaning pretty solidly R at the moment.(Trump's hispanic margins have steadily gone up since 2016, dropping the wall focus helped a lot). Wisconsin and Michigan are the closest to going D albeit Trump still leans ahead. PA is in the middle and is the most important of the set. (North Carolina is the strongest R of all 7, and Georgia is the Libertarian Ex-Democrat Chase Olivers homestate which combined with Cornell West's strong focus there and the election commission shenanigans means those two are out of play barring some good luck and Roy Cooper being picked. Trump would have won Georgia in 2020 with no third party vote and those have leaned left since. I don't consider them swing states unless Andy or Roy are on board).
In the Rust Belt Focus scenario(They pick Shapiro or Walz and make Pennsylvania the biggest focus as it's the most important state, and manage to finish ahead in all 3, at the cost of Arizona, Nevada, and the Southern States), the final score is 268-270. A win, but a damn tight one.
Except...Nebraska. Nebraska is putting a law up in September to change the way their state distributes to be Winner Take All. If it goes through it would be passed in October, taking away one D vote from Omaha and giving it to R. (Maine has threatened to do the same if Nebraska does, but they wouldn't have it done til after the election if they did, not enough time). That would change the above scenario to a 269-269 decided by the current House...which is Trump run and even if it wasn't it's state by state and more than 26 states are safe red even in a blue wave scenario. Though it would leave the VP pick to the Senate, which is democrat right now, and while it couldn't be Harris due to her current spot anyone else would be came. So there'd be a very real chance of a Trump/Shapiro ticket which would be a dysfunctional nightmare and would have a massive chance of one of the two getting murdered.(I can't find a source if it's the current senate or the newly elected one as they get inaugurated seperately from the president, but if the senate falls which looks likely the Republicans can pick the VP, and while the House is leaning democrat due to it being state by state it would be R regardless).
This ALSO happens in the reverse scenario, where the Dems focus on the Southwestern States with Mark Kelly(taking Arizona and Nevada) AND manage to put on enough pressure to take Wisconsin and Michigan(which are the closest and Kelly while he isn't a winning deal there is still better than nothing), but are unable to win Pennsylvania(which is a lot more red leaning and without Shapiro or Walz is probably going red). 270 - 268 win for Democrats...unless Nebraska changes the law in which case it's a tie, House picks, see above.
The specific configuration of which states go where makes a tie super likely this year especially if Nebraska switches their rules(which isn't unconstitutional, they picked a weird unique system and they can unpick it, the other system is used by 48 states that's all above board. The scummy part is the timing as it would leave Maine without time to change their own system before the election and thus secure an extra R vote without an extra D vote from changing Maine). There are also tie scenarios in the event Nebraska doesn't change, namely the "Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia go blue, everything else goes Red" possibility if someone like Beshear or Cooper is picked ends in a 269-269 tie, as does a couple of scenarios where Maine-State swings Red(which it has come extremely close to more than once), turning narrow Blue wins into ties. And if those scenarios happened alongisde a Nebraska change they'd suddenly be 270-268 clean wins.
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worst fucking timeline
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Momentum is everything in politics.
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For those keeping score
Trump when he thought he was going to lose in 2020 went and tried to go after voting rights by having mail machines taken offline
This time he can't and is now falling behind. His underlings efforts and his rhetoric as we close in on the election will be voter suppression and intimidation
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This time he can’t and is now falling behind.
DeJoy still heads the post office.
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Do not forget that Hillary was beating Trump in most polls before the 2016 election.
Never forget.
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Listening generates enthusiasm.
Also, I love how when Trump's lead over Biden was broadening, the narrative here was "Biden isn't losing! The polls are wrong!" Now that Harris' numbers are rising, it's "Harris can't win! The polls are wrong!"
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I woke up early this morning, so I'm a bit irritated as a baseline, but how the fuck is that even a close race?
It's a rhetorical question, but damn is it mind blowing how dumb people can be.
The US is fucked up and is influencing us here, and I am fucking pissed.
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It's worth keeping in mind that:
A) The only poll that matters is the one on Nov. 5th
and
B) Before that, the only people that you can poll are people who are fired up enough about their candidate to agree to participate.
A resigned, grudging, or "meh" vote for Biden would count just as much as a red hat wearing, sign displaying, rally attending Trump vote...but only one of those two cares enough about polling to participate in one before election day.
With Harris, I'm not so sure she will get that many more votes than Biden would have...but more of those voters are of the more motivated kind who will voluntarily participate in these polls.
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It shouldn't even be a close race in the poll between Biden and Trump, much less between Harris and Trump.
I was watching Luke Beasley interviewing MAGA people at rallies, and the mental gymnastics is unbelievable. Like even if he can cherry pick who is shown on camera, people have the gall the deny the reality.
I'm extra mad that MAGA thinking is slowly making its way in Canada and our dumb people gobble that shit up.
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It might just be my local area but democrats here dont answer random polls. They are treated as door to door salesman or phone scams, completely ignored.
They sometimes use ridiculous data thats completely wrong too. Ive had them text or leave a voicemail referring to me as: my wife, my mother in law, my father, my mother, as well as the past three families that lived at my address.
I just dont know what type of poll I would actually take, trust isnt given to strangers in these parts generally.
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We need Harris for President cat toys merch already since my two cats also are supporting Harris for president <3
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Oh no!
Anyway....
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its almost like nobody wanted a genocidal chosen by party bureaucrats.
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Thank you for revealing that you're a troll so I can block you.
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Go 🌻🌻🌻
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Yawn. Get better material.
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As if the only lives that matter are Palestinians.
173 comments