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Bulletins and News Discussion from May 12th to May 18th, 2025 - Nuclear War Averted (Hopefully)!

Image is from the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists' recent article on Kashmir.

It looks like the spat between India and Pakistan could be dying down, due to a new ceasefire. As of the time of me writing this paragraph, it seems both sides want to maintain it (despite some reports of violations here and there).

Both sides have declared victory, which is completely expected given their mutual political parties and nationalist histories. It's a little harder to say which side has actually won, as both sides seem to have managed to shoot down aircraft and hit military bases. India has, in my opinion, had the more embarrassing moments, but international conflicts aren't cringe compilations. I feel no good-will towards Pakistan's comprador government, but it is at least nice to see Modi knocked down a few pegs. Regardless of the final technical victor, it's obvious that - if the ceasefire is maintained - who won are the hundreds of millions of people who won't have to live in fear of dying in nuclear hellfire.

This conflict is a good example of what multipolarity will truly entail. Countries that have been previously limited in their nationalist ambitions by American pressure will now take opportunities to revolt, sometimes against America itself, and sometimes against other countries in their regional neighbourhood. It's also why, as communists, our goals do not stop at multipolarity; it is merely the establishing act of a new era of agitation against peripheral and semi-peripheral capitalist countries that are forming powerful national bourgeoisie classes as the international American capitalists are forced away.

Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

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938 comments

  • Just went over the photos of the debris of the missile that Yemen fired at Israel a few days ago, and it appears that instead of using the Palestine-2 missile (a Fattah/Kheibar Shekan variant that has been in use for some time), it now appears that Ansarallah/the Houthis in Yemen now have the Fattah-1 proper. The debris on the ground in Israel is an exact match of the Fattah-1, all screws and rivet holes match up exactly. The Fattah-1 is Iran's most advanced missile, so Iran is definitely increasing its support of Ansarallah. I'll post some pictures below showing this, as well as the original pictures for anyone who wants to do a better Photoshop job. There are even more similarities that I haven't highlighted, but that's because I have poor Photoshop skills.

    Original pictures:

    Intact Fattah 1:

    Debris in Israel:

    Also don't expect posts for a few days, I've been locked out of some accounts and lost a ton of sources, and I think I've been IP/device fingerprint banned from twitter, also called X nowadays. If it's a device fingerprint ban, I don't think that even a VPN will help me. It'll take a while to recover, however the sources are all public accounts mainly on twitter, albeit low follower obscure ones. If anyone on here still has a Twitter account (yeah I know it's a terrible website run by Musk, but unfortunately a lot of information is on there, I got the original images from twitter for example), feel free to send a private message if you want access to the sources or help in the recovery process.

    Nevermind, twitter finally loaded for the first time in 10+ hours, and forced me to complete an extremely long 10 part capcha to prove I'm not a bot and remove my IP/device fingerprint ban. Still lost the original account, but I can create a new one at least.

    • Is there a reason why you have to use Twitter and not just use xcancel?

      • Xcancel is a mirror site or display only frontend, you can't create an account, follow others and have a feed as far as I'm aware. If that's changed, I'll gladly use it.

        Twitter really sucks, especially right now that they're having me fill out capchas every time I open it because they think I'm a robot, but there's not many alternatives. I don't think Al Masirah TV (Yemeni news source) has a BlueSky account or anything like that for instance. It's the way I access these kind of sources right now.

        • There's a way to view multiple accounts together on xcancel. For example, the url https://xcancel.com/african_stream,MayadeenEnglish will display tweets from both African Stream and Mayadeen within the same page. Unless you're like following 20+ accounts, it's just a matter of typing a long and ugly url once and saving it as a bookmark. The major drawback is if the Twitter account sets their status to private, you no longer have access to their tweets. Not sure if this is what you're looking for.

938 comments