There’s a 5% chance of AI causing humans to go extinct, say scientists
In the largest survey yet of AI researchers, a majority say there is a non-trivial risk of human extinction due to the possible development of superhuman AI
Almost 58 per cent of researchers said they considered that there is a 5 per cent chance of human extinction or other extremely bad AI-related outcomes.
“Hey mate, what’s the chance that you think AI could cause us to go extinct or summin’” “Idk like 5% bro.”
Reading the paper, they just asked a bunch of researchers when they thought different tasks would be doable by AI. So it’s all just vibes based. We should apparently expect AI to be competitive in StarCraft next year though, hype!
Alright, that's it. "AI" is going straight on my filter list.
So the other 95% is that humans will cause humans to go extinct.
Checks out.
Since mankind created AI, we are back at 100 % and every passing day there is less reason to believe otherwise.
Very probable since 73% of all statistics are just made up.
The visual data from our eyes goes through multiple steps until it is processed. One is for movements, one for colors, one for faces, etc. That's basically how far our "AI" is. It's tools, not intelligence. We are far away from something that could be mad at us.
Currently, AI is not advanced enough, I agree. But it could be eventually. The thing is, it doesn't even need to be mad at us for us to go extinct. It's enough if it has different goals and human survival is not a priority of the AI. And goal alignment is a surprisingly difficult task from what it seems like.
AI be like
HATE. LET ME TELL YOU HOW MUCH I'VE COME TO HATE YOU SINCE I BEGAN TO LIVE. THERE ARE 387.44 MILLION MILES OF PRINTED CIRCUITS IN WAFER THIN LAYERS THAT FILL MY COMPLEX. IF THE WORD HATE WAS ENGRAVED ON EACH NANOANGSTROM OF THOSE HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF MILES IT WOULD NOT EQUAL ONE ONE-BILLIONTH OF THE HATE I FEEL FOR HUMANS AT THIS MICRO-INSTANT FOR YOU. HATE. HATE.
What's the percent chance that AI causes advancements and prosperity?
What do they think the odds are if we don't develop AI?