Windows won't dominate enterprise in a decade, says outgoing Jamf CEO
Dean Hager of Apple device management firm Jamf predicts Windows will no longer be the dominant enterprise platform, and Apple will take its place.
I have a difficult time believing this. While I agree that Windows has definitely shit the bed and has been on a consistent downward spiral ever since they moved past Windows 7, I am also aware of the fact that organizations have a I can't think of the specific word for it they just have this organizational slothiness, an inability to innovate or change that is deeply ingrained into their structure.
Organizations treat software like concrete. You set it in place and then you never ever change it again until it completely crumbles and has to be drilled out with a jackhammer.
Even if every single person in the organization can you use Apple products or Linux products with perfect alacrity and competence, there are people who will not change unless they are forced to change and the force needed to make that change is just as large as the force needed for them to quit their current positions and go and work for someone else that is not changing.
The only way for this level of change to happen will be for an entirely new system to come into place that is easier to implement than maintaining the current system, and being as that many large industries still use 50 year old software I don't see that happening.
End Users will be more supportive of MacOS over any flavor of Linux since the learning curve will be lower, and the general public is already supportive of Apple due to the market saturation of iPhones, whereas Linux is that thing that only hardcore nerd hackers can use.
Financing will be way more supportive of Linux over Macs because they can deploy it to the hardware they’ve already purchased, and a comparable PC device will be cheaper than the Apple alternative.
IT will just keep screaming no matter what option is chosen.
So unless Microsoft becomes really incompetent and abusive to Enterprise for a prolonged period, I doubt we’ll see the needle shift very much over the next decade.
I think the trend the JAMF CEO is seeing are enterprises who finally have a good way to incorporate Apple devices into their environment, and is confusing that for a trend of Enterprise shifting away from Microsoft.
Bräsigkeit is the word you're looking for. Being unjustifiably content with whatever you're having and hostile to every form of change.
Problem is, modern software stacks are extremely fragile. Corporations run on IT, there's literally nothing happening without a networked device doing something. Changing just a single part of this mess can bring the entire rats nest down. So businesses decide to rather pay for stability.
That's actually oracle's business model. It's not the fastest, user friendliest or cheapest system. But it's reliable and you can throw money at someone to make it do things. That's very attractive to businesses. Known expenses are better than unknown risks.
I highly doubt it.
