TL:DR So far Russia has been able to draw from its reserves, but if current losses continue 2025 will see problems in some categories due to depleted storage namely IFVs and other personal transports, as well as most of the more modern weapon systems. 2026 most storage categories will be empty. This is already a massive loss, as the massive weapons storage allowed Russia to maintain a large military cheaply and sell upgraded Soviet weapons to maintain its arms industry.
That definitely makes me feel a little better about their prospects in the Baltics.
That would mean Russia actually ends the war soon. These losses combined with manpower and economic problems are a decent sign that Russia can keep the war in Ukraine going for about a year. Ukraine might very well be in a position to keep its fight up for long enough to make that a reality, if only some European countries continue sending aid.
