Bulletins and News Discussion from December 2nd to December 8th, 2024 - May A Hundred Hazel Flowers Bloom - COTW: Russia
Bulletins and News Discussion from December 2nd to December 8th, 2024 - May A Hundred Hazel Flowers Bloom - COTW: Russia
Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.
The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.
Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.
Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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For everyone that is confused why me and other Syrians might be happy about this:
A stagnant, oppressive and expired regime has finally been kicked out after strangling us since 1971. Yeah yeah the geopolitical implication and all that, but we're human in the end and there's an emotional weight in seeing the omniscient Baath regime with all the fucking Hafez and Bashar statues and pictures get stomped on and thrown in the trash. Let us have this at least, these fuckers have killed or tortured a young man from every single Syrian family.
people on here get tunnel vision on Syria due to it being part of the Axis of Resistance, and in many cases due to not knowing the history of the conflict/country
there are reasons that so many people were willing to rise up against the Ba’athists over the past decade and a half, guys, and those reasons aren’t all foreign interference.
Solidarność also had organic support and wasn’t all foreign interference, but it lead to the destruction of the eastern block and look at poland now.
Come on now, the Polish People’s Republic wasn’t as heavy-handed and violent towards critics as the Ba’athists were— what comes next isn’t exactly good, given that jihadis uninterested in Palestine have conquered Damascus, but a lot of Syrians are feeling good today. there is a moment of catharsis here that has been bought with a decade and a half’s worth of blood. people are gonna feel some typa way about it.
Catharsis that Hezbollah and Hamas will be weakened? Tens of thousands more will die because of this, both in Syria itself and beyond. Catharsis shouldn't be the reaction you have when Zionist warlords partition your country. Imagine the devastation when the west sucks everything of value out of Syria
the average Syrian doesn't look at this situation through the eyes of a (presumably Western) poster on a bear geometry forum, they look at this through the eyes of the average Syrian. they've got desires and ideologies of their own, beyond 'increasing Iranian power projection in West Asia'
On the contrary assads problem was that he wasn't heavy handed enough. His dad or his brother would have crushed the rebellion in 2011.
Some people (not here) have been downright nasty, wishing Libyanification upon Syria as though they are americans who failed to vote for Kamala Harris. Fwiw, I do think you should have this. French colonization created the rock and the hard place between which Syria was set. Everyone was afraid of what would happen after the Baathism, but minority rule is just not sustainable. It sucked for the minority too. Besides being associated with a government they don't necessarily support, its not like all alawites were part of the clans at the top either.
Here's hoping that the political instincts shown by Julani are real and not just a way to try and cajole short term western approval, and that the syrian people can put this civil war behind them.
I'm not confused about about Syrians being happy, with a lot to learn about how bad it was, I'm slightly confused why people, Syrians and otherwise, who know how the world works believe there's much of a chance of peaceful freedom. Lebensraum entity already activated.
You can’t be serious and think the HTS and turks will be better for syrians than a stagnant baathist state.
I get it that for a decade the material conditions of syria have deteriorated and too many were fed up for too long. I doubt that the new order in syria will change things for the better.
Always have appreciated your analyses, Mr Penis. Yes it's been funny seeing the Western response to the last 10+ years now from Syria, but yeah. I have a few Syrian buddies from University and they said very similar things to you. Sounds like you guys have been screwed for many years.
Despite what people say online (or this news thread for that matter) I agree that it's entirely up to Syrians to determine how they feel right now. Absolutely surreal situation.
have you updated the cuck chad rankings yet?
As much as I understand the people upset about the geopolitical stuff from this, Syrians deserve to live and if they find that through ousting Assad then that is exactly what they should do.
As for who comes next, god willing they'll be reminded of the cats of Assad's regime if they don't very quickly establish a functional government to shut down the looting and violence.
I feel you. I didn’t feel any bad emotions when Saddam got roped. He deserved it even if the invasion of Iraq was the worst possible way for it to go down.
Now Israel is invading Syria so I would guess that Assad was probably better than getting genocided by Zionists.
The chaos that will insure will be worse than anything the 'regime' ever did. This happened in Iraq, Libya. An opressive regime like Assad's is leagues better than whatever the horrors that will come from Israeli, Turkish/western imperial rule. Not to mention the damage this will do to the axis of resistance. Being 'human' isn't an excuse for not thinking about things critically