Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages
Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages
Introducing 538's new 2024 presidential polling averages for Kamala Harris versus Donald Trump.
You're viewing a single thread.
538 had Hillary beating Trump in 2016.
Polls are shit, have a plan and get out and vote.
VOTE!!!
538 had Hillary beating Trump in 2016.
No they didn't. They had Hillary with something like a 60% chance of winning. That's not "had Hillary beating Trump" that's "Hillary was more likely to win than Trump."
I dont have proof, but I believe it was a hell of a lot higher than 60％
It was. IIRC, it got up to almost 90% in mid October. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
It wasn't 100%. It's a forecast not a premonition.
Sure, Jan
You know how the internet works, right?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Don’t miss the forest for the trees. The point being— polls are shit 💩
GET OUT AND VOTE!!!
You know how probability works right? No, of course you don't. Almost nobody does...
Some of us play XCOM, 95% chance to hit might as well be 0% when you need 100%, usually means it's time for a grenade.
Hah! Excellent example. 😆