2y ago

US's Blinken says no to any Ukraine peace deal that doesn't include total Russian withdrawal

apnews.com Blinken warns Ukraine cease-fire now would result in ‘Potemkin peace,' legitimizing Russian invasion

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken says the United States and its allies should not support a cease-fire or peace talks to end the war in Ukraine until Kyiv gains strength and can negotiate on its own terms.

“We believe the prerequisite for meaningful diplomacy and real peace is a stronger Ukraine, capable of deterring and defending against any future aggression,” Blinken said in a speech in Finland, which recently became NATO’s newest member and shares a long border with Russia.

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Do I understand it correctly, that "total withdrawal" is giving back the regions that agreed to be with Russia, alongside getting the troops back?
- You mean that separatist regions that got installed by Russia and would already have lost without the Russian troops intervention in 2014 - 2015? That regions that have a government of brutal former criminals (that brutally oppressed every opposition)? Yes those too. If the people really want to be part of Russia, they can ask for a fair referendum with international observers after Russia fucked off.
  
  Let's take a look at a few slides from this lecture that Mearsheimer gave back in 2015 to get a bit of background on the subject. Mearsheimer is certainly not pro Russian in any sense, and a proponent of US global hegemony. First, here's the demographic breakdown of Ukraine:
  
  here's how the election in 2004 went:
  
  this is the 2010 election:
  
  As we can clearly see from the voting patterns in both elections, the country is divided exactly across the current line of conflict. Furthermore, a survey conducted in 2015 further shows that there is a sharp division between people of eastern and western Ukraine on which economic bloc they would rather belong to:
  
  And we can see a few interesting facts about Crimea in a US government study. First thing to note is that it was never part of Ukraine proper. US government referred to it as the Autonomous Republic of Crimea. Second thing to note is that majority of the people in Crimea do not consider themselves Ukrainian, and the biggest demographic considers themselves Russian:
  
  And finally, here are some facts, as documented by western media, about the regime in Ukraine that you're evidently supporting
  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tHhGEiwCHZE
  https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-30414955
  https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28329329
  https://www.haaretz.com/world-news/europe/2021-05-04/ty-article/.premium/ukrainian-official-changes-tune-on-unacceptable-march-honoring-ss-unit/0000017f-e0e2-d7b2-a77f-e3e7ee990000
  https://www.ft.com/content/7191ec30-9677-423d-873c-e72b64725c2d
  https://consortiumnews.com/2022/12/29/on-the-influence-of-neo-nazism-in-ukraine/
  https://consortiumnews.com/2022/12/29/evidence-of-us-backed-coup-in-kiev/
  https://gordonhahn.com/2015/05/02/ukraines-neo-fascist-right-sector-claims-responsibility-again-for-2-may-2014-terrorist-pogrom/
  http://www.errc.org/news/anti-roma-pogroms-in-ukraine-on-c14-and-tolerating-terror
  
  that's some impressive mental gymnastics for supporting an illegal invasion and nothing you said changes that. if these people don't like living in Ukraine, they can leave. That doesn't excuse Russia for invading another sovereign nation, and Ukraine has every right to defend itself.
  it reminds me of this:
  “DARVO is an acronym used to describe a common strategy of abusers. The abuser will: Deny the abuse ever took place, then Attack the victim for attempting to hold the abuser accountable; then they will lie and claim that they, the abuser, are the real victim in the situation, thus Reversing the Victim and Offender.”
  
  The only people doing mental gymnastics here are the ones who genuinely believe that the west is helping Ukraine defend itself as opposed to destroying Ukraine in a proxy war with Russia. You are all going to have a lot of soul searching to do at the end of all this.
  
  "i know you are but what am I?" is the argument of a child, and pretending that the west helping Ukraine is the same as Russia bombing it to bits is treating your audience like children.
  believe it or not, not everyone is as foolish as you.
  
  The west is not helping Ukraine, and the fact that people in the west continue to pretend that's the case if absolutely sickening. And you've demonstrated beyond all doubt that you are far more foolish than me.
  
  The west is not helping Ukraine
  so you say, but in every demonstrable way, we are, including by every claim made by their government and the plurality of their people. and it's pretty hilarious that you claim to be some authority to make claims to the contrary. The only ones who would claim otherwise are Russia and their supporters, of which you are clearly one.
  so, why should anyone take your positions seriously?
  
  Wow, your maps are so persuasive!
  I'm excited to report that I just looked at map of Kosovo, it shows almost the same thing! That region is full of people who consider themselves ethnic Albanians who don't support Serbia in the slightest.
  I guess that means that you must support the annexation of Kosovo to Albania, by force if necessary, right? I mean, because otherwise that would mean that you are nothing more than a reflexive, anti-West stooge and there's no way that could be possible.
  
  If people in Kosovo actually want to join Albania then they should be able to. Last I checked though, there are plenty of Serbs living there who recently clashed with NATO troops. You want to remind me why that happened?
  
  Because the PM of Kosovo was an idiot. Fortunately he now seems to be willing to change his plans.
  
  Wait, but I thought you were just telling me that people in Kosovo wanted to join Albania. Can't even keep your story straight? 🤡
  
  No, I said Albanians in Kosovo are like Russians in Ukraine. Neither is 100% homogeneous, but that doesn't give anyone a right to annex their land.
  
  Yet, NATO went in and broke up Yugoslavia and that's the established international norm now.

113 comments