Predictions thread
Predictions thread
Free form predictions, imaginary internet points awarded for being closest on seat count, popular vote, turnout, etc. Predict whatever you want! Timestamps before 8pm Atlantic time please :)
13 comments
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Libs with 180. Cons 130. BQ 24. NDP 8. Greens 1.
Libs 41%. Cons 40%. NDP 8%. BQ 6%. Others 5%.
Turnout 68%.
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Turnout 68%.
Gosh, that would be something.
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Historical turnouts: https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=ele&dir=turn&document=index&lang=e
I think 68% was damned close -- and similar to what we got in 2015.
However, I underestimated how much this election would turn into a two-party election (both the liberals and conservatives had higher popular vote than I expected). And overestimated the liberal vote efficiency being able to translate that into seats.
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Libs at 160 and cons at 138 right now not too bad.
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13 comments