Steam Linux Marketshare Surges To Nearly 2% In November
Steam Linux Marketshare Surges To Nearly 2% In November
www.phoronix.com
Steam Linux Marketshare Surges To Nearly 2% In November
20 comments
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I want to see Linux and macOS chip away at Windows as much as the next guy but calling a rise to 2% a “surge” seems laughable
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it is when you are consistently below 1%
thats like almost twice as much and millions of users in absolute numbers
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I don’t think it’s necessarily about beating Windows. What is significant is that Linux use is slowly growing to a point where it shouldn’t be ignored. Those of us firmly in the Linux camp benefit from that and it makes it easier for newcomers to kick the tires.
Frankly, I don’t care whether people use Windows or not. Not my business, not my problem. Use what works. I’m just happy my own shit works, whether it’s 2% or 80% market share. Linux gaming has been a breeze lately - easier than I remember Windows being - and it’s awesome. We are in a really good place and I hope it keeps getting better.
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2% is more than double the usual share prior to the steam decks release.
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Which is why it's so awesome that most of Steam Deck is actually fairly open, or at least as open as running steam on desktop Linux anyway.
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The Steam Deck is a locked down environment?
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Any surge also has more to do what China did or did not do that month than how many Steam Decks they sold.
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GamingOnLinux does a good job of tracking the data separated to just the English language, which shows how much effect China has on the survey as well as a decent approximation of the rest of the audience's Linux usage, which is closer to 4% these days, post-Steam-Deck.
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They're good outliers to cut out from a sample set. If you want to use the survey as a developer to determine what your audience looks like, how much merit is there in factoring in a player base that mostly only plays Dota 2 and PUBG for major patches or something? And don't forget that the other way to look at that sample set is that for every Steam Deck customer out in the wild, you can double it to find how many Linux users there are, which is a number in the millions.
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I'm not saying that Chinese players only play Dota 2 and PUBG. I'm saying that measurably, the biggest swings in the survey come from Chinese players who only play a couple of the biggest games and nothing else, and they play on homogenized hardware at gaming centers running the same graphics card and operating system. In these same ebbs and flows, people write articles saying "Linux usage surges" and "Windows 11 users leave for Windows 10 en masse", but neither is true. All that happened is that those Chinese players came back for one specific game this month compared to last month, and you can see that by the increase in Simplified Chinese users.
There are plenty of people, regardless of location, that use Simplified Chinese and wouldn't be outliers, but you're better off collecting that number during a down month, and you can get a better representation of actual Linux usage over time by selecting one language that isn't Simplified Chinese, like English.
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Yes, it's true of all demographics that most people just play those few big games. None are so massive in absolute numbers on homogenized PC setups like China that they visibly swing percentages on their own.
The percentages only matter as far as observing trends, which is why this article and its Windows equivalent need to be presented in the context of how much China moves the needle in either direction, since Valve only releases numbers on total monthly active users at irregular intervals. The last time we got a number on that was March 2022, as far as I know. Home PC usage in China may be on the rise, but 12% of Windows 10 users didn't switch to Windows 11 and Linux in the past month; Simplified Chinese dropped by 19%. That's not a trend in user behavior, the thing that interests us about the percentages. It's just a large part of the survey not participating in it this month.
If we had absolute numbers for monthly active users to go along with the percentages, you're right; the percentages would matter a whole lot less. But since we don't, we can observe trends, and those trends make a lot more sense when you get rid of outliers.
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Fair point, I hadn’t even considered that. I wonder what percentage of these Linux users are in fact Steam Decks.
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I think we'll continue to see an uptick. Speaking specifically of Linux it'll probably be mostly from the steam deck, but I believe we'll see an increase in PC gaming as well. As Linux game support and ease of use increases, and Windows becomes increasingly user hostile. I'm not talking about a mass exodus or anything. Most people don't know, won't care, or dislike Linux. But maybe we can tack several more percentage points on there in the next few years.
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