That'll cost about a million dollars in savings to sustain long term, assuming you're invested in the stock market and you withdraw 4% a year ("safe withdrawal rate")
I spent a lot of time learning from traders, and learning statistics. Most folks in trading use misleading profit and loss metrics to see if something is worth trading. I used the same kind of backtests, but I layered Bayesian inferencing on top of it.
I studied machine learning with Andrew Ng's courses, studied deep learning with Ian Goodfellow's book. Most importantly I took a course run by university professor and researcher in anthropology, Richard McElreath. I did my best to faithfully apply what I learned, though I am sure I strayed from academic standards.
At that point I had been doing this for years, for countless hours. It was my only hobby, and I dive hard into hobbies.
I tried my damnedest to be predictive every which way. I kept meticulous records to avoid fooling myself. Sometimes my models fooled me, and sometimes they combined with luck for my records to fool me. Long term, it's pretty clear. No evidence of any edge, ever, for any approach taken.
At the end of all of this toil and labour, I have the skills I learned along the way: statistical skepticism, a hands-on understanding of fat tails, an appreciation for the experience of randomness and the highs and lows of gambling. I think that's worth a lot - but I also think you can learn that a lot easier some other way.
I have done very well with buy and hold, it's fantastic. There's some bullshit in how you assign your portfolio - what proportions of what exposures - but its very profitable and exceptionally low stress compared to trading. It definitely has a better Sharpe/sortino/ulcer metric.
"The Lemmy Overseer" as I understand it is a backend service that gives us an API to use.
There is an open-source script for interacting with it. However, it does not tell you how that backend service works, exactly. It's a black box with well defined interfaces, best case, as I understand it.
If I were to rely on this for my instance, I would require that it be completely transparent and open source. It doesn't look like this is; you have to trust that it is making good selections, and give it power over your federation status. It's a dangerous tool, IMO, but I can understand why it would have appeal right now.
To yes-and this: procedural content in general. No Man's Sky is a snore-fest for me, big, empty, meaningless. Missions in Elite Dangerous and X4 are similarly pretty boring, though the former is more fun the first time around. There has to feel like there's some world-affecting point to what you're doing. IMO
https://www.rbcroyalbank.com/rates/prime.html
RBC has increased their prime rate to 7.2%; was 6.7% in May