Look....I use Linux. I love Linux. But let's be honest. That 4 percent is largely due to the steam deck; a gaming handheld where the vast majority of users don't know (or care) what operating system it uses as long as they can play their steam games on the go.
That's not "year of the Linux desktop", because it's not a desktop. It just has one hidden under the hood if you want to dig past the steam layer (which, as I said...the vast majority of users never will)
The year of the Linux desktop won't arrive until there is sufficient market share that software manufacturers are inclined to support us natively. That won't happen with a gaming handheld because no one would want to use a gaming handheld as a daily driver.
Sorry to be a wet blanket, folks. Downvote away....
Let me make this simple for everyone. There's only a real metric for "the year of the desktop Linux" and that's whenever Microsoft and Adobe release full featured versions of all their products for Linux. Not slimmed down web versions, no emulation/virtualization/-insert.hack- BS.
Get used it the idea, I know it hurts, but it's true.
For me, the year of the Linux desktop was nineteen ninety eight when the undertaker threw mankind off hell in a cell - er, no, I mean 2017 is when I switched all my computers to Linux.
We finally hopped ship this year. Some small bs antifeature finally pissed us off enough to (gasp) learn something new and now I can't find my way out of Vim.
I'm just waiting for windows 12. If reports are to be believed, it's going to be a subscription cloud OS, probably with a thin client. If they really go through with that, then I can imagine linux gaining some ground in 2026 when windows 11 hits EOL.
The combined number of years of my marriage and the ages of all of my children is a number that when subtracted from 2024 would not equal the first time I heard this.
Contrary to the idea that most of these new users come from steam decks, I've had 3 of my friends switch to or at least partially use linux. We are certainly growing.