4mo ago

New Airline Bookings Between Canada & United States Collapses, Down 70%+ (bookings until September)

onemileatatime.com

Airline Demand Between Canada & United States Collapses, Down 70%+

11 comments

Everyone can draw their own conclusions as to what’s causing this.
I'm curious, what other explanations are being offered up, other than Shitler?
- Shitler's little knob gobbler is pretty unpopular too
- The original source: https://www.oag.com/blog/canada-us-airline-capacity-aviation-market
  Using forward booking data from a major GDS supplier, we've compared the total bookings held at this point last year with those recorded this week for the upcoming summer season. The decline is striking — bookings are down by over 70% in every month through to the end of September. This sharp drop suggests that travellers are holding off on making reservations, likely due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding the broader trade dispute.
  It's also important to note that this is more than just leisure travel between Canada and the US itself.
  I don't necessarily think these are the main driving factors, but you could attribute some part of this to:
  economic recession, because firms oftentimes cut back on travel in their budgets as the first line items to be cut (prior to layoffs), and businesses may be more reluctant to hold conferences and large meetings in-person during periods of economic stress, and fewer business negotiations/meetings are happening due to tariff anxieties.
  declining air traffic to the US overall because of visa worries, the proposed travel bans or spite - Air Canada + airline alliances competes with US airlines for passenger bookings (i.e. itineraries like London -> Toronto -> Kansas compete with equivalent US itineraries of London -> New York -> Kansas ), and visa policies like the China Transit Program exists to help Air Canada and the Star Alliance leverage Canadian airports as transit hubs to the US. Remember: if privileged Canadians are scared about being allowed entry to the US without being detained in an ICE holding facility, you imagine how citizens of developing countries must feel about traveling to the US right now.
  The trend only holds true until September according to the source, so general uncertainty definitely seems to be a key driver here.
- Does Canada have a cost of living crisis? That would potentially explain some of the travel drop. Pretty flimsy argument though.
  (full disclosure, I dont honestly think its that, far more likely due to shitler)
  
  As a Canadian I just want to put it out there that Canadians are NOT travelling less, we have just chosen places that welcome us and don't want to continually threaten our sovereignty. This has nothing to do with cost of living but the Canada wide boycot of everything USian.
Netherlands and a couple of other european countries already issued travel warnings for the USA. Really bad idea to go there right now.
- Can't understand why anyone would play the lottery crossing US borders when you have schengen access to a huge variety of cultures, food and history at your doorstep. Europeans are so damn lucky.
- G'day, the Aussie dollar is in the shitter at the moment, come here and get more bang for your eurodollarydoo.
Hope air Canada finds new destinations to bring people to/from, poor guys.
- Less air travel is good whatever the reason. Our poor planet...

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