TracingWoodgrains launches a defense of Manifest's controversial reputation, all without betraying a basic understanding of what the word "controversial" means.

https://x.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1805683265480933638
He's getting mad at scientific american again because they wrote a shit opinion peice but he should know the wiki guidelines are generally against citing opinion pieces as fact in your article
"Editorial commentary, analysis and opinion pieces, whether written by the editors of the publication (editorials) or outside authors (invited op-eds and letters to the editor from notable figures) are reliable primary sources for statements attributed to that editor or author, but are rarely reliable for statements of fact."
https://x.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1803489864488460647
Same here, and I'm not even sure what was so bad about what was said because it was generally a tame article compared to many others.

The author appears to now be planning a hitpiece on David Gerard:
With apologies for resurrecting an old thread: I am an independent writer exploring the potential to write an article focused on Gerard's Wikipedia-related history. I've reviewed the information here and the on-wiki behavior and controversies I can find, but if anyone has information I may have missed or other thoughts to share, I would welcome direct messages or replies. In particular, if anyone with an informed perspective is willing to chat at length on the record, I'd appreciate it. I'm an outsider to the whole Wikipedia ecosystem and trying to parse through thousands of pages of history and edits looking for key moments gets rather dense--it's quite easy for me to miss relevant info.
https://wikipediocracy.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=11466&start=50#p355881
I, for one, am just psyched to see what Jesse Singal's research assistant is going to tell us about the evils of Wikipedia.
- I tried to look up this Mr. Gerard's lurid wikipedia past expecting at least a torture dungeon or wiki-cult or something; but all I found were a bunch of people grumpy that they couldn't turn wikipedia articles into cryptocurrency ads.
  Booring.
  
  don't forget the ones outraged they can't use the Daily Mail or the Sun as sources
  
  When I was listening to the most recent episode of the Maintenance Phase podcast which was all in on mocking J. Michael Bailey with a special dig at autogynephilia theories, I went to go see if David had any history policing weirdos on Bailey's wikipedia page, as an excuse to bring the episode in for a stubsack link. And he didn't, which means, once again, booring.
- TW emailed me asking if I'd be willing to help with the piece. I declined (I can't see it being any sort of productive use of my time), but I expect he will cobble together something from the extant public records.
- ten years ago the wikipedia cranks had compiled lore on me, and some of it had a vague relation to anything that ever happened! Sure can't wait to see what a good faith rationalist researcher comes up with
- "wikipediocracy"? fucking seriously?
  for all the good and bad bits that wikipedia has (and there are notably many of the latter too), a rulership is definitely not among that list afaik. wtf.
  (e: I'm going purely off the domain name there, but holy shit what a name)
  
  literally started by a guy who was banned for trying to set up a business to write wikipedia articles, and the evils of JIMMY WAAAAAAAAALES!!! still fill his spleen
  
  aaaaand then I actually looked at the page. fuck me it's even worse.
  
  @froztbyte @sneerclub Well, if the vast majority of people in a community share a consensus reality and basic principles, you don’t need a formal governance structure to oppress hallucinating sociopaths.
- so now we have confirmation that tracing w. is (a) a petty, vengeful prick and (b) reads this; good. tracing, whoever you are, why don't you focus on some introspection, like consider what causes you to agree with obvious anti-scientific crap (scientific racism, hbd) and why do you prefer the company of fascists (proto, wannabe, true, disguised, and the illinois nazis) to the company of people who don't think genocide can be justified for any reason?
  
  i must point out that i've barely interacted with the guy, if at all, and had previously considered him on the saner end of the rationalists from his reasonably coherent twitter

TracingWoodgrains seems to have developed, in the process of leaving mormonism, an obsession with seeking out contrarianism. But more importantly, he ~~openly admits to being racist/HBD~~ "align[s] broadly with informed experts that the distribution of genetic traits associated with intelligence is non-zero" and "questions of genetics and IQ, including when it comes to group differences, are worth taking seriously". As such, he only considers it "racism" if it's "racial crassness and antagonism".
https://libreddit.kavin.rocks/r/BlockedAndReported/comments/1al4rui/premium_episode_the_faas_bizarre_diversity/kqfo5dp/
In which TW names who he thinks is treating the topic with the seriousness it demands without sinking to crassness: our good good friend Cremieux.
- the distribution of genetic traits associated with intelligence is non-zero
  This doesn't even make sense. What the fuck is a zero distribution? A probability distribution cannot be "zero" in any sensible meaning of the word. Did you mean uniform?
  Also obv citation needed you sack of spuds.
  
  I think he is trying to say something like "non-zero skew", but really, he just means "I subscribe to race science, but only for the articles".
  
  zero distribution is what they got, the day sense and awareness were handed out
- no type of racist is more rabid than the genteel racist
- Is "informed experts" really an accurate description to use over "other racists?"
- Woow, TIL. I thought he was halfway decent from the way he flatly called sailer a racist (low bar I know), but his consistent fraternization with Hannania seemed strange to me.
- align[s] broadly with informed experts that the distribution of genetic traits associated with intelligence is non-zero
  Now I'm not the smartest cookie in the bakery but I know a dog-whistle when I see it!

Tracingwoodgrains is a reference to one of the sillier plot points in Card's Ender series, right? Not very flattering imo.
- oh god is it from that messed up OCD plot line in one of the bad ones -- Xenocide? -- which I'd forgotten about until just now? I guess if someone has an OCD diagnosis you could imagine taking that as a reclamation...
  
  I'm assuming he does have OCD, but given the context I don't know if I'm very confident about how much ironic distance there is to the name..
  
  yup.

look at this incredibly offended dork

TracingWoodgrains was the person who wanted to create 'themotte' but leftwing right?
- That is correct, it was called TheSchisim.
- I genuinely don't know, but I would believe it 100%. He seems like an arrdestiny-esque debate pervert in a reply-guy world. I think a "left wing" motte would suit him
  
  debate pervert in a reply-guy world
  Well done.
  
  Looked it up, and guess which sub he mods, could be that im thinking of a different guy who came into sneerclub to go 'we should setup some better rational arguments against the Rationalists', which is always quite the waste of time.
  Edit: While looking into this, I see that TracingWood was on a podcast with Jesse Singal of all people. (Also talked about, why Keffals is bad or something (I didn't listen, and I don't know that much about what Keffals did or didnt do wrong, but eurgh at Singal talking about trans people, and wow the fans of this podcast are quite transphobic on reddit (protip, that you dislike a transperson (who might even done bad things) is no reason to mock all trans people you shits)))

Ben Stewart:
Manifest's decisions are and have been bad not in terms of PR, but bad for its own epistemics, the forecasting community, EA, and basic human decency.
TW:
"Basic human decency"? Jeez, mate. I understand not wanting to engage with right-wingers personally, but treating it as a deep affront when others choose to do so is off-putting, to say the least.
Ben Stewart:
Yeah that was a bit strong, sorry late here.
Ben, honey. You do not have to apologize for referring to platforming Hanania as an affront to basic human decency. That TW is successful in shaming you for accurately identifying what happened here is no credit to your own ability to recognize the dangerous epistemic bubble in which you find yourself, or the cultlike social pressures that persuade you to distrust your own correct judgement -- not because TW challenged your facts or your interpretation, but because he -- gasp! -- called it "off-putting."
Not everyone's going to like you. Not everyone's going to agree with you. Social stigma is a good and correct tool in your toolbox when a member of your community says that cites-the-Turner-Diaries, enforced-sterilization, anti-"miscegenation", “women’s liberation = the end of human civilization” Richard Hanania has something valuable to add.
- Why do they care about hbd to begin with? Listening to fringe ideas isn't a formula for becoming smarter
- look this only pattern matches to a racism fan making a bad faith appeal to geek social fallacies

He also wants us to know that Hannania is much less right than he's made out to be.. Richard gave him a signal boost and is cool with gay people! Unfortunately, Tracey hasn't grasped that "right winger" is simply a metonym for "thinks blacks are the second least domesticable African animal after zebras"
- Aw, Hanania's a good egg, he liked my incredibly stupid case for surrogacy from a reactionary perspective with shit machine-generated illustrations
  
  Deep into that diatribe:
  Some people's moral intuitions are that nonexistence is preferable to, or not obviously worse than, existence in a less-than-ideal setting. I wholly reject this intuition, and looking at the record of the persistence of life in the face of adversity, belong to a heritage of those who have, time and time again, rejected it. Life is Good.
  What a disgustingly privileged thing to say. People have survived in shitty situations so therefore more children in poverty is axiomatically good? ~~This guy deserves poverty.~~ (edit: maybe that's a bit too far but I fucking hate this guy)
  
  Text in AI-generated images will never not be funny to me. N the most n'tural hnertis indeed.
  
  [W]hat is perhaps my most fundamental philosophical conviction is this: life is Good, human life especially so. The most natural things in the universe are death, decay, and emptiness. Growth, life, and creation are fragile anomalies. We belong to an eons-long heritage of those who have committed to building and maintaining life in the face of inevitable decay. Our duty is to do the same.
  Putting aside the obvious elders of zionny subtext.. I'm an unabashed humanist and this is one of the most childishly anthropocentric things I've ever read. Death and decay are human concepts you big dummy. Sucks for you that you apparently can't imagine our universe outside of your silly meat-bound linear-time phenomenology, but do try to respect and enjoy reality instead of talking like a 1920s pulp protagonist.
- I parsed "right" there as "much less correct than he's made out to be" and was like, ye, probably, he's like 0 correct so any amount he's made out to be is too much.
- He also wants us to know that Hannania is much less right than he’s made out to be
  Also he doesn't grasp that people hate Hanania because he's a racist, not because of where he falls on the forced left/right spectrum.
  
  People like TW are the perfect distillation of the booksmart Slate Star Codex fan class, who are so completely sealed in their bubble that they aren’t even in touch with major parts of themselves anymore. They lose, or never developed, the capacity to even simulate a coherent theory of mind which would make appropriate sense of what the other person is saying. Brains like a Frank Gehry building with a roof made from sheer enthusiasm supported by warped tent poles of Scott Alexander heuristics sticking out at odd angles from each other.
  Wow, I went looking for something else and found a deeply sad illustration of exactly what I’m talking about:
  https://twitter.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1772398359745012139