China raises five demands during Yellen’s visit
China raises five demands during Yellen’s visit
The Chinese government has made five demands on the United States, including the cancellation of its chip exports ban and sanctions, during US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s four-day China…
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The US economy wouldn't collapse without China, nor China without the US. They are so heavily intertwined economically that both countries avoid trouble with the other because the impact would be enormous.
China has manufacturing power. US has trade alliances and military power. Neither can overcome the other in simple terms.
If the US pulled out of China, the pressure on their allies to stop business with China would be the halting of sales of arms and support. Those F35's require specific maintenance supplied by the US.
If China pulled out of the US, the pressure would be on US soil to bring prices of commodities down.
China is a cheap source of labor to the US, but so is India. Much of US tech support and manufacturing is moving to India anyhow because much of the educated population speaks English due to British colonialism. Over time, things would equalize and the new status quo would emerge. NEITHER country would cease to exist, and neither would acknowledge the growing pains.
US economy was in shock when a single ship got stuck in Suez Canal, that's how fragile it is. If China cut US off, then most necessities of life would disappear overnight, and there wouldn't be any readily available replacements US could source quickly. Meanwhile, China is far less dependent on US than the other way around. China doesn't get anything essential from US, and trade imbalance massively favors China. China can absolutely survive without US.
US has no military power over most of Eurasia or Middle East at this point, and it's not even able to compete with Russia militarily as it turns out. China's industrial power absolutely dwarfs both US and Russia, so US would have absolutely no hope if it ever came to a war with China. You don't have to take it from me either, here's Pentagon freaking out over this https://archive.ph/YOV9X
If China pulled out of the US, the pressure would be on US soil to bring prices of commodities down.
You can't just make industry appear out of thin air in the real world. It takes years to build factories, train workers, and establish supply chains. You can't just print money and make these things magically appear.
China is a cheap source of labor to the US, but so is India.
That's wrong again. China is not a cheap source of labour, it's a technological power with well ironed out supply chains and skilled workers. India isn't anywhere close in terms of technological development. Here are just a couple of recent examples of that
- https://9to5mac.com/2023/02/14/iphone-casings-produced-in-india/
- https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/11/tech/india-foxconn-exit-vedanta-chip-joint-venture-intl-hnk/index.html
US wouldn't cease to exist, but it would have a massive economic crash and it would never recover to its current level of power.
You said it perfectly: the massive amounts of imports to the US from China are a driving force of China's economy. The US has been in steady decline for two decades. China is on the rise because of their massive exports to the US and the EU. Without those, China tanks, same as the US. The US will consume, and China will produce. That is the stats quo.
US weapons are steamrolling the Russian army, without any US solders operating them. Ukraine is still gaining ground daily, on every front. Do you truly believe the US couldn't roll through Russia the way Wagner did two weeks ago with only 25,000 troops? I said it earlier but I'll say it again: Wagner is/was proud of the fact they used western arms and not Russian or Chinese. To say the US couldn't take Russia is naive at best, downright false at worst.
China's industrial power absolutely dwarfs both US and Russia, so US would have absolutely no hope if it ever came to a war with China.
Your hypothetical disregards the existence of NATO and Indo-Pacific alliances. Article 5: An attack on one is an attack on all. War between China and the US would be China Russia and N Korea vs the world. Be serious here. Do you think China by itself, or China with it's "big" 3 allies could take Australia and the south Pacific states, nearly all of Europe (including states like Poland who are foaming at the mouth to inflict suffering on Russia), India, Japan, S Korea, and DEFINITELY the Philippines and Taiwan. Let's not forget the massive military base on Guam.
But let's dig deeper: the US has the most aircraft carriers in world, the most veterans who have seen combat, the most ballistic missile subs, the largest air force, the most military bases, and the US has bases in Korea and Japan for exactly the situation you described. China currently has no capability to project it's military onto US soil. They wouldn't be able to cross the Pacific, whereas the US is already in Asia. China is not good to it's neighbors, and many have historical grievances as well as ongoing territorial disputes (off the top of my head: India and Philippines). War between China and the US would be WW3, which both sides are actively avoiding. Don't say things like "US would have absolutely no hope if it ever came to a war with China" when you don't seem to grasp that it would be China vs the entire planet, and the entire planet is better equipped and on their doorstep.
No, what has actually happened is that there are two world superpowers instead of one, each ruling their part of the globe, each dependant on the other to not drop the facade so they have an "enemy" to blame at home. To say either single country could take on the other is probably the worst argument you tried to make
Again, China can find new countries to export to, and that is literally the whole idea behind BRICS and BRI where China is actively investing into helping countries develop and then sell them their technology. If you look at the breakdown of Chinese exports, it's pretty clear that US and EU aren't the major market anymore. The risks are not symmetric. For China, it would be a pain, but wouldn't be existential. For US and EU it would be a crisis.
US weapons are steamrolling the Russian army, without any US solders operating them.
You must be living in an alternate reality. All US weapons have failed miserably in Ukraine, and Ukraine has failed to gain any ground in over 4 weeks of their offensive. This is well documented all over western media. Just a couple of recent examples for you
- https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/22/politics/ukraine-counteroffensive-western-assessment/index.html
- https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/06/27/25-tanks-and-fighting-vehicles-gone-in-a-blink-the-ukrainian-defeat-near-mala-tokmachka-was-worst-than-we-thought
Do you truly believe the US couldn’t roll through Russia the way Wagner did two weeks ago with only 25,000 troops?
No sane person believe that US could roll through Russia.
Wagner is/was proud of the fact they used western arms and not Russian or Chinese.
Wagner is a tiny portion of Russian military force, if you don't even understand what role wagner plays what else is there to say really.
To say the US couldn’t take Russia is naive at best, downright false at worst.
You really gotta stop guzzling propaganda. Not a single person in US military shares this insane view with you. 😂
Your hypothetical disregards the existence of NATO and Indo-Pacific alliances. Article 5: An attack on one is an attack on all.
First of all, article 5 doesn't say what you think it says. It says that countries have to provide support at their discretion which can be basically anything. Second, NATO is literally running out of ammunition right now and lacks the industrial base to make more.
US aims go from making 14,000 155mm shells each month to 20,000 by the spring and 40,000 by 2025. https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2022/12/05/army-plans-dramatic-ammo-production-boost-as-ukraine-drains-stocks/
Meanwhile, Russia was producing over a million shells a year long before the war started, it's vastly more now
- https://jamestown.org/program/russia-struggles-to-maintain-munition-stocks-part-one/
- https://jamestown.org/program/russia-struggles-to-maintain-munition-stocks-part-two/
This is just one example of why US has absolutely no hope of fighting Russia. I'm not even going to go into the fact that Russia has the biggest nuclear arsenal and nuclear hypersonic weapons US has no defense against.
You should also read up on what US military planners say about a war with China. Here's what the Pentagon had to say recently about it https://archive.ph/YOV9X
But let’s dig deeper: the US has the most aircraft carriers in world
Oh you mean obsolete boats that can be easily destroyed by modern hypersonic weapons US has no defence against?
I recommend trying engaging with reality https://asiatimes.com/2023/05/war-game-china-hypersonics-sink-us-carrier-every-time/
No, what has actually happened is that there are two world superpowers instead of one, each ruling their part of the globe, each dependant on the other to not drop the facade so they have an “enemy” to blame at home. To say either single country could take on the other is probably the worst argument you tried to make
What's actually happening is that US empire is crumbling, and the cost of keeping the grip on the empire is now exceeding the material returns US gets back from the colonies. This is leading to an economic collapse in US domestically that's currently unfolding.
China doesn't need to take on US directly, and it's pretty clear that China's plan is to just wait for US to keep losing power due to its internal contradictions. Time is on China's side. However, if US did try to start a war with China, the consequences for US would be absolutely disastrous.
Ahhh now I got you! You must be Russian! Cyka blyat!
To believe Russia is anything but a paper tiger is laughable at best, but thinking they could go toe-to-toe with the US, or fuck it even just Poland by itself shows you have no other information available to you outside the massive propaganda machine. Russia is not a modern military, and just like WW2, they throw bodies at the front and hope to make progress.
The US has hypersonic, just like they have active camouflage, just like they invented depleted uranium rounds, just like they had predator drones in the 90s, just like they had the SR-71, just like they have the NGAD already operational. Do you really think those giant lasers mounted on ships are just for show, or that they'd tip their hand? The primary thing the US does is not show their cards and then blindside countries. You're probably not a fan of history though. You wouldn't get it.
You are right about China: doing nothing is in their best interest. They have a plan to be able to compete with the US military by 2050. I think things will have shaken out by then, but as it stands China has admitted it cannot fight the US at the present time.
And you've finally exposed yourself as being utterly ignorant on the subject you're attempting to debate. You keep on huffing copium there while you can, soon you're going to have to grapple with the real world. Bye.
Aww poor fella ran out of talking points. Nuts. I was having fun making you look stupid.
The fact that you think you were making me look stupid here is really the cherry on top. 😂