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I'm smart enough to know you're looking for a calculated estimate, yet dumb enough to add "I did it" for you to add to your count. Happy counting!
Look at the Lemmy apps total install count in the play store, you can model from there. Hint : not as much as you might think.
However. Apps were not available (except for jerboa). Lemmy apps are now here! available and still improving a lot. I find that voyager is very nice to use, jerboa improved a lot, Lemmy servers stability improved.
Now - you the lemmy users (lemmywings? Lemmings?) have to go back to reddit and other platform and spread the word about the Lemmy apps. Post on Lemmy first and always include a link to Lemmy post in your reddit posts.
Who uses Google Play to install FOSS apps? F-droid is the way to go and it doesn't do the tracking that you need to do that kind of estimate. Also, there is essentially no need for apps when the browser version is so good.
Word.
Excel.