Would Kamala Harris have won the 2024 election if Latinos didn't shift hard to the right?
Would Kamala Harris have won the 2024 election if Latinos didn't shift hard to the right?
Now that we have final numbers. It appears that Harris had all the white & black support she needed for an EC victory. But Trump outright flipping Latino men and making huge gains with Latino women seems to have made all the difference.
What do you think?
First image is 2024, second is 2020.
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I don't think anyone shifted right. They just didn't want whatever it was that Harris was selling.
dude, if they voted right, they shifted right, that's what the word shifted means
Shifted right means their policy preferences moved right. That is not the entirety of why someone votes a given way. Some probably did shift right. Others may have thought Trump had better hair. It's an analog world and you have to dive into the weeds to understand things. You can't look at one number and think it explains everything.
Ummm, yes they did. Latino male turnout went up 1%. More of them voted this election than 2020. Which means they shifted right.
The percentage of all Latino voters going up between 2020 and 2024 doesn’t necessarily mean there was more turn out from Latinos; if the voter demographics have shifted between 2020 and 2024 so that Latinos make up 1% more of the population, then they are still turning out at the exact same per capita rate as before, as a group.
Which sounds like a short time, but that’s a small shift and plenty of people turn 18 every day.
Non sequitur, there are many analyses of the party change and they don't all boil down to left vs right.